March Madness! The fallacy of "flattening the curve". Shutting down the economy and disrupting our way of life to protect 20% of the population is counterproductive madness
I have been watching all the hysteria surrounding a virus which the Chinese once again unleashed on the world.
This "flatten the curve" logic all these so-called medical "experts" are throwing at us is the wrong way to go about cracking this problem. Dr. Fauci and may be well meaning but he's not an economist, so we need to stop listening to people like him or they are going to crash our economy and wipe out all the gains we've made under the incredible leadership of President Trump.
Take the worst case scenario right now, Italy. Look at the foolish self-inflicted chaos they've created. Their biggest problems are economic. That is, they are suffering from the counterproductive measures trying to deal with this virus, NOT the virus itself which has infected 0.04% of their population.
If we're not careful, the same will happen here.
So here's what needs to happen:
I think the highly susceptible 20% of population needs to quarantine themselves to stay away from this virus, while the other 80% of the healthy population go about their lives. Sure, govts at all levels can assist creating a civil network to help make sure the most vulnerable get the care, food and necessities from uninfected helpers, while the rest of us carry on.
At this point, there are too many reservoirs of contamination and nucleation points for infection clusters to slow it down. Most people (80%) will have a mild to nasty cold but no distress that requires medical assistance. We can predict most of the other 20% by factors such as age and health condition.
Forget this "flattening the curve" nonsense for 80% of the population. Ditch these ridiculous and equally counterproductive "test kits" and websites tracking the number of cases, which are doing nothing but causing panic shoppers to hoard items like toilet paper and hand sanitizer. Why are we bothering with a "test" that has a record of embarrassing imprecision? In the UK, patients are required to have 3 or more negative tests at intervals before being released from isolation in hospital. Again, stupid!
The only bell curve that matters is the number of people getting seriously ill and dying from this virus - the 20%.
That's it. Ignore the 80%.
Central planning is not the American way, so shutting down the economy to protect the 20% is counterproductive. Just look at what the Italian govt has done to its citizens trying to fight a relatively harmless virus which has only infected 0.04% of their population. Other foolish European countries are headed down the same disastrous path. That's the bureaucratic EU way - where the so-called "cure" is always worse than the disease.
We need the strong, healthy and robust productive 80% to keep things going so we have the means to take care of the vulnerable 20%. A "national shutdown" on any scale cripples everyone, and how does that help the 20%?
Every virus has a bell curve, so even if we did nothing, it WOULD taper off, probably in 2-3 months. However, no matter we do, the Coronavirus will not be eradicated. Other corona viruses visit the US at irregular intervals as do all the known influenza. This one will visit again and kill more Americans. Are we going to go through this nonsensical panic next year all over again? In the future, there will be a vaccine for those at higher risks or who wish to request it. That's it.
Contrary to the race-baiters and so-called "experts", President Trump did the right thing banning all flights from China over a month ago, which is why the US is not Italy right now. Unfortunately that measure only bought us time. Now he needs to fire all the people advising him on this global pandemic, put on his MAGA business hat, look at the big picture and get the country moving again!
Stop this counterproductive govt-imposed madness and bring back March Madness!
Who is with me?
:banger:
I have been watching all the hysteria surrounding a virus which the Chinese once again unleashed on the world.
This "flatten the curve" logic all these so-called medical "experts" are throwing at us is the wrong way to go about cracking this problem. Dr. Fauci and may be well meaning but he's not an economist, so we need to stop listening to people like him or they are going to crash our economy and wipe out all the gains we've made under the incredible leadership of President Trump.
Take the worst case scenario right now, Italy. Look at the foolish self-inflicted chaos they've created. Their biggest problems are economic. That is, they are suffering from the counterproductive measures trying to deal with this virus, NOT the virus itself which has infected 0.04% of their population.
If we're not careful, the same will happen here.
So here's what needs to happen:
I think the highly susceptible 20% of population needs to quarantine themselves to stay away from this virus, while the other 80% of the healthy population go about their lives. Sure, govts at all levels can assist creating a civil network to help make sure the most vulnerable get the care, food and necessities from uninfected helpers, while the rest of us carry on.
At this point, there are too many reservoirs of contamination and nucleation points for infection clusters to slow it down. Most people (80%) will have a mild to nasty cold but no distress that requires medical assistance. We can predict most of the other 20% by factors such as age and health condition.
Forget this "flattening the curve" nonsense for 80% of the population. Ditch these ridiculous and equally counterproductive "test kits" and websites tracking the number of cases, which are doing nothing but causing panic shoppers to hoard items like toilet paper and hand sanitizer. Why are we bothering with a "test" that has a record of embarrassing imprecision? In the UK, patients are required to have 3 or more negative tests at intervals before being released from isolation in hospital. Again, stupid!
The only bell curve that matters is the number of people getting seriously ill and dying from this virus - the 20%.
That's it. Ignore the 80%.
Central planning is not the American way, so shutting down the economy to protect the 20% is counterproductive. Just look at what the Italian govt has done to its citizens trying to fight a relatively harmless virus which has only infected 0.04% of their population. Other foolish European countries are headed down the same disastrous path. That's the bureaucratic EU way - where the so-called "cure" is always worse than the disease.
We need the strong, healthy and robust productive 80% to keep things going so we have the means to take care of the vulnerable 20%. A "national shutdown" on any scale cripples everyone, and how does that help the 20%?
Every virus has a bell curve, so even if we did nothing, it WOULD taper off, probably in 2-3 months. However, no matter we do, the Coronavirus will not be eradicated. Other corona viruses visit the US at irregular intervals as do all the known influenza. This one will visit again and kill more Americans. Are we going to go through this nonsensical panic next year all over again? In the future, there will be a vaccine for those at higher risks or who wish to request it. That's it.
Contrary to the race-baiters and so-called "experts", President Trump did the right thing banning all flights from China over a month ago, which is why the US is not Italy right now. Unfortunately that measure only bought us time. Now he needs to fire all the people advising him on this global pandemic, put on his MAGA business hat, look at the big picture and get the country moving again!
Stop this counterproductive govt-imposed madness and bring back March Madness!
Who is with me?
:banger:
hno:
